Senior Bowl Thoughts
Some extraneous thoughts from watching this weekend’s game:
·
Riddle me this…how in the world do USC and West Virginia
qualify as Southern teams while Arizona State plays for the North? The last
time I checked, California was a Union State in the Civil War while West
Virginia seceded from the South to join the ‘Yankee’ cause.
·
I would have liked to have been a fly on the wall when…
Players from Auburn, USC, and LSU talked shop about the Oklahoma Sooners.
·
Mike Nugent winning the Groza award only once is a farce. Since
his freshman season Nugent nailed all but nine field goals. Neither Kaeding
nor Jonathan Nichols could hold a candle to this guy. The only other
collegiate kicker I have ever seen dominate games like Nugent can (and has)
in the last 25 years is Sebastian Janikowski. Kaeding was good in 2002 but
Nugent was better – statistically better. Nichols probably deserved the
2003 award, but line them all three up side by side and I take Nugent any
day of the week. For the record, so would Mel Kiper.
Purdue and Losing the Close Ones
Watching Purdue somehow lose their Bowl game caused my feeble mind to start
churning. This whole scenario seemed so familiar. Purdue – up in a football
game and seemingly in control – only to lose late.
I began to wonder just how many times this has happened to Joe Tiller. With a
little research, it became clear it has happened a good deal. Since taking over
as the new coach in 1997, Tiller is a respectable 62-37. His numbers are second
only to Kenneth “Jack” Mollenkopf in the history of Boilermaker football,
and Mollenkopf last coached in 1969. Even so, if there is a weakness for Tiller,
it is that his teams often collapse late in the game. Perhaps this is simply a
lack of depth. Perhaps it is bad luck.
On the other hand, maybe it is a weakness in their schemes and game
management. On five occasions, Purdue has led a team at half before being blown
out of the water in the final two periods (Iowa 1997, USC 1998, Illinois 2001,
Washington State 2001, Iowa 2002). If you are looking for a statistical number,
then roughly five percent of Tiller’s total games and 14 percent of his losses
have come in this manner.
More damaging however is the fact that Tiller’s clubs often squander leads
in the fourth quarter. It is simply frightening (or depressing if you are a
Purdue fan) how often his teams lose when by all rights they should have been
walking away as the victors. Twelve times (including three bowl games) Tiller’s
squads have lost a fourth quarter lead and tanked a game. One out of every three
losses comes this way and one out of every eight games (12%) overall ends with
another team beating the Boilermakers with less than 15 minutes remaining. Ohio
State leads the virtual parade of those ruining seasons for Purdue as it has
defeated them not once, not twice, but three times (2000, 2002, and 2003) in
this way. Notre Dame (twice) and Georgia (twice)* are up next. Bowling Green,
Wisconsin, Michigan, Northwestern, and Arizona State have also tasted the sweet
waters of a late victory while leaving Tiller and all who play for him dining on
ashes.
Perhaps the most discouraging element of this puzzle is that the frequency of
these late losses is increasing. From 1997 until 2001, Tiller’s teams averaged
just under two per season. In 2003 and 2004, his teams lost a whopping seven
games in fourth quarter heartbreakers. Sure, you can look at this and say the
boys in Lafayette, Indiana are becoming more competitive. You can also look at
this and ask the question, “Will Tiller ever get over the proverbial hump?”
*Note that one of the two bowl losses to Georgia came after Purdue tied the
game only to lose in overtime.
Texas –Ohio State
You knew it had to be coming.
After backing out of a game against ‘powerhouse’ Hawaii several years
ago, Mack Brown reportedly made remarks in early January that the upcoming Ohio
State games this fall and next are not to anyone’s advantage. Sadly, Brown is
correct. The smart schools will no longer schedule games against tough out of
conference foes but simply play a game of survivor and seek to be the last one
standing after a schedule against the Sisters of the Poor.
Might Brown also be secretly hoping they could find a way out of this
contract?
This is, after all, the year that Brown has his best shot at a national
title. The Aggies are not yet rebuilt and were demolished in their bowl game
against Tennessee. Oklahoma State lost their coach, spent their entire bowl game
with their face in the dirt after Ohio State mauled them, and said the Buckeyes
were by far the best defense they faced all season. Oklahoma lost in historic
fashion in the national title game, has been exposed as less than impressive the
last two seasons outside of the Big 12, and loses the vast majority of their
starters. The Big 12 North is a joke and once proud Nebraska and Colorado are
hemorrhaging. Who does that leave?
Texas.
2005 is Brown’s year, and he knows it. If he could somehow skulk out of the
game in Columbus, he would have an easier time reaching the national title game
than Tom Cruise has picking up women. At this late date, it is doubtful the
administration will allow him to drop the contest as it would cause an uproar
but look for Texas and other programs to start taking the path of least
resistance with schedules in the future.
Taking their Marbles and Going Home
Give the AP pollsters a giant raspberry for their recent move to pull out of
the BCS.
Before going any further, I want to be clear that I too despise the BCS. It
has had only two title games in its entire history that matched the two best
teams (1999 and 2002). I have serious doubts that Tennessee could have defeated
Ohio State in 1998 or that Oklahoma could have beaten a Miami team that slapped
around Florida State in 2000. USC and LSU almost certainly would have been a
better game in 2003, USC versus Auburn clearly could not have been worse than
the historic loss by OU in 2004, and Oregon versus Miami also could not have
been any worse than the humiliation of Nebraska to end the 2001 season.
Even so, the AP should be embarrassed by their behavior.
Why?
Last year the AP was incensed. They were upset that a team like LSU was able
to squirm into the process, but they were even more bothered that without a late
loss to Michigan, the Buckeyes (with their sputtering offense) might have
slipped into the title game. LSU upset the apple cart of course when it pushed
the Sooners all over the field, leaving the AP staring at several realities: (1)
USC was likely the best team in the nation even though LSU might have given them
a game and upset them in New Orleans. (2) The Sooners were not nearly as good as
advertised and thus their strength of schedule had to be questioned. (3) The
least favorite among their teams, Ohio State, pummeled the same Kansas State
that beat the Sooners in historic fashion.
As a result, the strength of schedule was removed. This year, with the BCS all
lined up according to their wishes, Oklahoma and USC were put in the title game.
We all know the result of that debacle.
The solution of the AP was simply to pull out of the whole process.
My solution?
After giving the AP their giant raspberry, college football should go back to
the way it was before the BCS. Let all of the teams play in their traditional
bowls. After the bowls, pick the two teams that have shown they are a cut above
the rest. That would have created the best title matchups for the last 30 years
and beyond. Seeing Texas, Oklahoma, Nebraska, and Miami in the Rose Bowl is
nothing less than a desecration of the sport’s traditions. Watching someone
other than the Big 12 play in the Orange bowl is a disgrace. Even stretching out
the bowls past New Year’s Day has done much to ruin their significance;
working people can’t block off a week to watch the bowls. They can take New
Year’s Day off to watch football, but they can’t and won’t take off the
1st, 2nd, and 4th.
Here is a look at the +1 games that would have been possible the last 20
years:
2004 – USC vs Auburn
2003 – USC vs LSU
2002 – Ohio State vs Miami
2001 – Miami vs Oregon
2000 – Miami vs Oklahoma
1999 – FSU vs Virginia Tech
1998 – Ohio State vs Tennessee
1997 – Nebraska vs Michigan
1996 – Ohio State vs Florida
1995 – Nebraska vs Florida
1994 – Nebraska vs Penn State
1993 – Notre Dame vs Florida State
1992 – Alabama vs Miami
1991 – Miami vs Washington
1990 – Colorado vs Georgia Tech
1989 – Miami vs Notre Dame
1988 – Miami vs Notre Dame
1987 – Miami vs Florida State
1986 – Miami vs Penn State
1985 – Oklahoma vs Michigan
Can anyone in their right mind look at this list or what is happening to the
traditions of college football right now and tell me this would not be a better
solution? Give a round of applause to John Cooper as he has long been advocating
this method and get the bowls to go back to the way they were.